People

CFE Faculty

Robert J. Barbera
Director, CFE
Ph.D., Johns Hopkins
410.516.0557
rjb46@jhu.edu
Wyman 594

Greg Duffee
Carl Christ Professor
Ph.D., Harvard
410.516.8828
duffee@jhu.edu
Wyman 552

Louis J. Maccini
Advisor, CFE
Professor emeritus
Ph.D., Northwestern

Affiliated Faculty

Laurence M. Ball
Econ. Dept. Chair
Professor
Ph.D., MIT
410.516.7605
lball@jhu.edu
Wyman 566

Olivier Jeanne
Professor
Ph.D., École des Hautes Études en Sciences Sociales, Paris
410.516.7604
ojeanne@jhu.edu
Wyman 582

Edi Karni
Scott and Barbara Black Professor
Ph.D., U. of Chicago
410.516.7608
karni@jhu.edu
Wyman 562

Jonathan Wright
Professor
Ph.D, Harvard
410.516.5728
wrightj@jhu.edu
Wyman 584

CFE Fellows

Kevin Heerdt
CFE fellow
B.A., USC
kheerdt1@jhu.edu
Wyman 533

Floyd Norris
CFE fellow, and former chief NYT financial correspondent
MBA, Columbia

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COVID-19 Data: Signal versus Noise

Bob Barbera • Floyd Norris • Jonathan Wright

03/28/2020

Two burning questions confront all of us: How big is our public health problem? How sharp is our economic retrenchment? We think that the toolkit of economic forecasters has something to offer on the scale of the public health problem. Ignore the frantic quotes focused on reported COVID-19 cases—the numbers are all but meaningless. Instead, […]

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March 2020 Manufacturing ISM Report On BusinessView More

CFE • CFE Analysis • Commentary • Finance • Macro

Embracing Distancing and Cushioning the Blow to the Economy

Bob Barbera • Floyd Norris • Jonathan Wright

03/26/2020

The global COVID-19 outbreak now sports exponential growth rates for cases and deaths on every continent save Antarctica. Students of the economy must add that we are also in the midst of an unprecedented blow to global output, income, and employment. In financial markets, the pace of decline for equity and corporate bond prices exceeds […]

CFE • Commentary

Oily Disaster

Floyd Norris

03/10/2020

The United States has become the world’s largest oil producer. That honor is likely to vanish, and with it a lot of companies. If so – and it is almost certain to be so if the oil price war is not promptly ended – the question will be what impact that will have on the […]

CFE • Commentary

The Saudis, the Russians, the Chinese…and the Greens, Four Dimensional Chess in the Time of Corona

Bob Barbera

03/10/2020

Crude oil prices plunged on Monday, as Saudi Arabia has announced that they will ramp up production to punish recalcitrant OPEC members, including and especially Russia. Rising supply alongside a virus driven swoon for global demand is a prescription for collapse, and that is what is unfolding. We would argue, however, that the Saudi move […]